Blackburn host League Two heavy hitters Wrexham as the Hollywood fairytale story seeks to progress to the fifth round of the FA Cup…
Perched at 18th in the Championship, Blackburn beat Cambridge 5-2 in the previous round which saw them fight back from two separate deficits.
Despite the positive result, conceding two goals to Cambridge is part of an overall trend that has seen them concede 53 goals this season which is the most of any Championship side despite being 8 points clear of relegation.
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Blackburn Rovers v Wrexham
19.30 BBC One Wales / BBC iPlayer / BBC Sport Website
(Maximum 10 matches – 10 years)
JUL 2013 FRIENDLY – Wrexham 1-1 Blackburn
In spite of being in the bottom half of the Championship, the league’s top goalscorer is Blackburn’s Sammie Szmodics who sits with a tally of 16 goals which makes up for over a third of Blackburn’s efforts this season.
It’s probably a matter of time before the Irishman departs for deeper waters, especially after the club’s scary decline from last season when they were narrowly denied a playoffs spot by goal difference to Sunderland.
The 28 year-old attacking midfielder is probably the only shining light for the Rovers, and there’s simply no dressing up their form lately as they sit bottom of the Championship based on their last 10 league matches where they’ve conceded a whopping 25 goals. This is a stark contrast to a Wrexham side who have scored 20 and conceded just 10 in as many games.
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The Hollywood fairytale story involving owners Ryan Reynolds and Rob McElhenney seems to be going from strength to strength in the last 18 months as the club seeks back-to-back promotions.
Last season it was a battle of the titans as Wrexham topped the National League with 111 points followed by Notts County just four below – well clear of third at 84. Eight points currently separate them this season in League Two and interestingly, Wrexham were sent off a general 7/2 favourite for outright league glory despite being new blood in the EFL.
Manager Phil Parkinson will be looking at ways to overcome a differential between their home form that reads the best in League Two and away form exclusively that puts them in 11th spot. That has clearly been an issue this season but it could well be on the up with just three away losses in their last ten games, most recently at Newport where defender William Boyle was sent off after just 18 minutes.
Main attacking options for the Welsh side will be coming from Elliott Lee and Paul Mullin, with the latter seeking to score a fourth goal in six matches which certainly seems possible considering the aforementioned recent form of Blackburn.
I like the angle of high flying lower tier clubs going well against middle-of the pack sides despite being leagues apart. This is even more the case considering Blackburn’s horrendous run of form lately and there’s no better time to face the Rovers than today. As long as Wrexham play with 11 men for 90 minutes, something that hasn’t been the case in three of their last eight matches, they hold every chance for an upset. I’m backing Wrexham double chance at 5/4 with starsports.bet.
BACK Wrexham to win or draw 3pts at 5/4 (⭐
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PROFIT/LOSS (JAN 2024): LOSS -13.18 points